Stock Performance 2018

InvestorsFriend Inc.’s performance – Year 2018
2018 turned out to be a bad year for our Stock Picks. The three stocks we rated in the Strong Buy range declined an average of 14.2%. And the 20 stocks that were rated (lower) Buy or higher declined an average of 13.5%. In comparison the Toronto Stock Exchange index was down 11.6% and the S&P 500 index was down 6.2%.
Group   Rating to start 2018 Price Increase Our Performance
Average of 3 strong buys   Strong Buy -14.2% bad
Average of 17 buys   Buy -13.5% bad
Average for all 20 buys and strong buys -13.6%  
Average of 2 weak buys   Weak Buy -3.2% bad
Average of 1 weak sells   Weak Sell 0.0% bad
Average for all 3 Neutral ratings (weak buy or weak sell) -3.0%  
Average of 2 Sells   Sell -1.4% good
Average of 1 Strong Sell   Strong Sell 0% bad
Average Sell / Strong Sell     -1%  
Rated As – Strong Buy at January 1, 2018
Name Beginning 2018 Price Rating to start 2018  Price Now Price Increase Our Performance
Linamar Corporation                    73.21  Strong Buy rated at $68.50            45.30 -38% very poor
CRH Medical Corporation (CRH, Toronto, CRHM, U.S.)                      2.65  Speculative (lower) Strong Buy at U.S. $1.85 and Canadian $2.37             3.05 15% good
MELCOR DEVELOPMENTS LTD. (MRD, Toronto)                    15.30  Strong Buy rated at $15.05            12.29 -20% bad
Average Strong buy   Strong buy -14.2% bad
3      
Rated As  – Buy
Name Beginning 2018 Price Rating to start 2018  Price Now Price Increase Our Performance
Toll Brothers Inc. (TOL, New York)                    48.02  (higher) Buy rated at $42.81            32.93 -31% very poor
Fortis Inc. (FTS, Toronto)                    46.11  (higher) Buy at $46.18            45.51 -1% bad
Canadian Tire (CTC.a, TO)                  163.90  (higher) Buy rated at $151.46          142.74 -13% bad
Royal Bank of Canada (RY, Toronto and U.S.)                  102.65  (higher) Buy rated at $101.92            93.44 -9% bad
RioCan Real Estate Investment Trust (REI.UN, Toronto)                    24.36  Buy rated at $23.84            23.80 -2% bad
Melcor Real Estate Investment Trust (MR.UN, Toronto)                      8.51  Buy at $8.63             7.46 -12% bad
Stantec Inc. (STN, Toronto and New York)                    35.16  Buy rated at CAN $34.28            29.91 -15% bad
Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund (BPF.un, Toronto)                    21.91  Buy rated at $21.12            15.11 -31% very poor
AutoCanada Inc.                    22.64  Buy rated at $21.96            11.35 -50% very poor
Canadian Western Bank (CWB, Toronto)                    39.25  Buy at $33.71            26.04 -34% very poor
Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc., ATD.B                    65.59  Buy rated at $60.25            67.91 4% good
American Express Company (AXP, New York)                    99.31   (lower) Buy at $93.86            95.32 -4% bad
Constellation Software Inc. (CSU, Toronto)                  605.88  (lower) Buy rated at CAN $704, U.S. $559          639.84 6% good
TFI International Inc. (TFII, Toronto)                    32.86  (lower) Buy at $32.86            35.30 7% good
FedEx (FDX,NY)                  249.54  (lower) Buy rated at $223          161.33 -35% very poor
Canadian Western Bank Preferred Shares Series 5 (CWB.PR.B)                    24.38  (lower) Buy rated at $24.17            21.80 -11% bad
Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRKB, New York)                  198.22   (lower) Buy rated at  $186          204.18 3% good
Average Buy   Buy -13.5% bad
17        
 Rated As Weak Buy
Name Beginning 2018 Price Rating to start 2018  Price Now Price Increase Our Performance
Canadian National Railway Company (CNR, Toronto CNI, New York)                  103.65  Weak Buy / Hold at CAN $98.41          101.11 -2% bad
Ceapro Inc. (CZO, Venture)                      0.50  Speculative Weak Buy / Hold at   $0.65             0.39 -23% very poor
VISA (V)                  114.02  Weak Buy / Hold at $111.25          131.94 16% good
Average Weak Buy   Weak Buy -3.2% bad
13        
Rated As – Weak Sell
Name Beginning 2018 Price Rating to start 2018  Price Now Price Increase Our Performance
0
Average Weak Sell   Weak Sell 0.0% bad
1    
 Rated As  – Sell
Name Beginning 2018 Price Rating to start 2018  Price Now Price Increase Our Performance
Wal-Mart (WMT, New York)                    98.75  (lower) Sell rated at $86.22            93.15 -6% good
Costco (COST, New York)                  186.12  (lower) Sell rated at $187.51          203.71 9% bad
Dollarama Inc. (DOL, Toronto)                    52.35  (lower) Sell rated at $162.03            32.47 -38% very good
Amazon.com Inc.               1,169.47  Sell at $1196       1,501.97 28% very bad
Average Sell   Sell -1.4%  
2
 Rated As  – Strong Sell
Name Beginning 2018 Price Rating to start 2018  Price Now Price Increase Our Performance
Average Strong Sell      
     
Average Sell/ Strongf Sell
DISCLAIMER: All stock ratings presented are “generic” in nature and do not take into account the unique circumstances and risk tolerance and risk capacity of any individual. The information presented is not a recommendation for any individual to buy or sell any security. The authors are not registered investment advisors and the information presented is not to be considered investment advice to any individual. The reader should consult a registered investment advisor or registered dealer prior to making any investment decision. For ease of writing style the newsletter and articles are often written in the first person. But, legally speaking, all information and opinions are provided by InvestorsFriend Inc. and not by the authors as individuals. The author(s) of this report may have a position, as disclosed in each report. The authors’ positions may subsequently change without notice.
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