Stock Performance 2018

 

InvestorsFriend Inc.’s performance – Year 2018

2018 turned out to be a bad year for our Stock Picks. The three stocks we rated in the Strong Buy range declined an average of 14.2%. And the 20 stocks that were rated (lower) Buy or higher declined an average of 13.5%. In comparison the Toronto Stock Exchange index was down 11.6% and the S&P 500 index was down 6.2%.
Group   Rating to start 2018 Price Increase Our Performance
Average of 3 strong buys   Strong Buy -14.2% bad
Average of 17 buys   Buy -13.5% bad
Average for all 20 buys and strong buys -13.6%  
Average of 2 weak buys   Weak Buy -3.2% bad
Average of 1 weak sells   Weak Sell 0.0% bad
Average for all 3 Neutral ratings (weak buy or weak sell) -3.0%  
Average of 2 Sells   Sell -1.4% good
Average of 1 Strong Sell   Strong Sell 0% bad
Average Sell / Strong Sell     -1%  

Rated As – Strong Buy at January 1, 2018

Name Beginning 2018 Price Rating to start 2018  Price Now Price Increase Our Performance
Linamar Corporation                    73.21  Strong Buy            45.30 -38% very poor
CRH Medical Corporation (CRH, Toronto, CRHM, U.S.)                      2.65  Speculative (lower) Strong Buy              3.05 15% good
MELCOR DEVELOPMENTS LTD. (MRD, Toronto)                    15.30  Strong Buy             12.29 -20% bad
Average Strong buy   Strong buy -14.2% bad

Rated As  – Buy

Name Beginning 2018 Price Rating to start 2018  Price Now Price Increase Our Performance
Toll Brothers Inc. (TOL, New York)                    48.02  (higher) Buy             32.93 -31% very poor
Fortis Inc. (FTS, Toronto)                    46.11  (higher) Buy            45.51 -1% bad
Canadian Tire (CTC.a, TO)                  163.90  (higher) Buy           142.74 -13% bad
Royal Bank of Canada (RY, Toronto and U.S.)                  102.65  (higher) Buy             93.44 -9% bad
RioCan Real Estate Investment Trust (REI.UN, Toronto)                    24.36  Buy             23.80 -2% bad
Melcor Real Estate Investment Trust (MR.UN, Toronto)                      8.51  Buy              7.46 -12% bad
Stantec Inc. (STN, Toronto and New York)                    35.16  Buy             29.91 -15% bad
Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund (BPF.un, Toronto)                    21.91  Buy             15.11 -31% very poor
AutoCanada Inc. (ACQ, Toronto)                    22.64  Buy             11.35 -50% very poor
Canadian Western Bank (CWB, Toronto)                    39.25  Buy             26.04 -34% very poor
Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc., ATD.B                    65.59  Buy            67.91 4% good
American Express Company (AXP, New York)                    99.31   (lower) Buy             95.32 -4% bad
Constellation Software Inc. (CSU, Toronto)                  605.88  (lower) Buy           639.84 6% good
TFI International Inc. (TFII, Toronto)                    32.86  (lower) Buy             35.30 7% good
FedEx (FDX,NY)                  249.54  (lower) Buy           161.33 -35% very poor
Canadian Western Bank Preferred Shares Series 5 (CWB.PR.B)                    24.38  (lower) Buy             21.80 -11% bad
Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRKB, New York)                  198.22   (lower) Buy          204.18 3% good
Average Buy   Buy -13.5% bad

 Rated As Weak Buy

Name Beginning 2018 Price Rating to start 2018  Price Now Price Increase Our Performance
Canadian National Railway Company (CNR, Toronto CNI, New York)                  103.65  Weak Buy / Hold           101.11 -2% bad
Ceapro Inc. (CZO, Venture)                      0.50  Speculative Weak Buy / Hold             0.39 -23% very poor
VISA (V)                  114.02  Weak Buy / Hold          131.94 16% good
Average Weak Buy   Weak Buy -3.2% bad

Rated As – Weak Sell

Name Beginning 2018 Price Rating to start 2018  Price Now Price Increase Our Performance
Average Weak Sell   Weak Sell 0.0% bad

 Rated As  – Sell

Name Beginning 2018 Price Rating to start 2018  Price Now Price Increase Our Performance
Wal-Mart (WMT, New York)                    98.75  (lower) Sell             93.15 -6% good
Costco (COST, New York)                  186.12  (lower) Sell           203.71 9% bad
Dollarama Inc. (DOL, Toronto)                    52.35  (lower) Sell             32.47 -38% very good
Amazon.com Inc.               1,169.47  Sell        1,501.97 28% very bad
Average Sell   Sell -1.4%  
DISCLAIMER: All stock ratings presented are “generic” in nature and do not take into account the unique circumstances and risk tolerance and risk capacity of any individual. The information presented is not a recommendation for any individual to buy or sell any security. The authors are not registered investment advisors and the information presented is not to be considered investment advice to any individual. The reader should consult a registered investment advisor or registered dealer prior to making any investment decision. For ease of writing style the newsletter and articles are often written in the first person. But, legally speaking, all information and opinions are provided by InvestorsFriend Inc. and not by the authors as individuals. The author(s) of this report may have a position, as disclosed in each report. The authors’ positions may subsequently change without notice.
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