| TSX Segment Index |
Trailing P/E (Click for update) |
Dividend Yield % (Click for update) |
ETF Stock Symbol, Price as at May 2, '13 and MER (Click for updated price) |
Comment Note the valuation
comments are based on the trailing P/E ratios and the yields. As noted below
the P/E at times may not represent a good indication of value if the
earnings are expected to change readily compared to the trailing earnings. |
HIGHER YIELDING
DIVIDEND CANADIAN EQUITY STOCK ETFs
- (updated May 4, 2013) Note
that ETF dividends can be volatile and therefore the indicated dividend yields
can
sometimes be misleading. |
| S&P/TSX Income Trust Index |
11.7 |
4.9%
|
No ETF |
15 Trusts, 13 of which are RIETs. Appears attractive.
But P/E may not be meaningful due to mark to market accounting of rental
properties. There is no Income Trust ETF (to our knowledge) but see the
REIT ETF below. |
| S&P/TSX Capped Financials Index
and TSX Financials ETF double bull ETF and TSX Financials
single and double bear
ETF |
11.9 |
4.6%
(index)
3.3%
XFN
0%
HFU, HIE and HFD
|
XFN
$24.72 (0.55%
MER)
HFU
$14.45
(1.15% MER) 2 times bull
HIF
$?.??
Single Bear 1.15% MER
HFD
$5.07 (1.15% MER) 2 times bear |
26 companies
in the ETF dominated by the big banks and life
insurance companies. XFN Looks
attractive Note
that leveraged ETFs (2 or three times bull or bear) are known to perform as
expected for short-term holding periods but may not perform as expected over
longer holding periods. Click on the ETF symbol to see a graph that
illustrates the problem. |
| S&P/TSX Capped Real Estate Index and ETF |
12.0 |
3.9%
(index)
|
No ETF but see REIT ETF below |
18 entities. Most but not all are REITs. P/E may
be unreliable due to mark to market valuation of
properties of REITS under IFRS accounting and will be highly volatile. Attractive yield. There is no ETF to our
knowledge. |
|
S&P/TSX Capped Telecommunications Index |
15.4 |
4.5% |
No ETF |
Only 5 companies. No ETF to our knowledge. |
|
S&P/TSX Capped Utilities Index |
52 |
4.2%
4.0%
XUT
|
XUT
$20.89 (0.55% MER)
|
11 companies. The Dividend yield is
attractive. The P/E ratio appears to be distorted, probably by some
unusual losses. |
|
S&P/TSX Capped REIT Index |
11.0 |
5.0%
4.2%
XRE
|
XRE $17.85 (0.55% MER)
|
13 REITs. P/E may be unreliable due to
IFRS mark to market valuations of properties held by REITs. Dividend is
attractive. |
| Dow Jones Canada Select Dividend Yield Index
TSX Dividend ETF |
12.9 P/B =
1.9 |
4.2%
index 4.1%
XDV
|
XDV $22.20 (0.50% MER) |
Appears attractive.
About 30 companies in
the ETF. Their is a heavy exposure to the big bank stocks. |
| Dow Jones Canada Select Value Index
TSX Value ETF |
12.2 P/B =
1.6 |
4.2%
index
3.4%
XCV
|
XCV $20.61 (0.50% MER) |
73
companies. Appears attractive. |
|
S&P/TSX Canadian Dividend Aristocrats Index |
22.7
17.1
CDZ
P/B =
1.8 |
4.2
index 3.4%
CDZ
|
CDZ $22.88
(0.65% MER) |
62
companies. Appears
neutral in attractiveness at best. |
|
S&P / TSX Preferred Share Index |
not Applicable to
Preferred |
4.7%
index 4.5%
CPD
|
CPD $17.31 (0.45% MER)
|
About 150 preferred share
issues. This
appears to be moderately attractive. But keep in mind there is little chance
of a price increase here, and if interest rates rise much there will be a
price decline. |
| TSX Segment Index |
Trailing P/E (Click for update) |
Dividend Yield % (Click for update) |
ETF Stock Symbol, (Click for updated price) |
Comment |
|
CANADIAN EQUITY ETFs (dated May 2,
2013) |
| S&P/TSX Composite index
and TSX Composite ETF |
18.8 |
3.2%
index
2.6%
XIC
|
XIC TSX
$19.67 (0.25% MER) |
237
companies. Appears not particularly attractive. Has a
heavy weighting to volatile finance and energy sectors. |
| S&P/TSX 60 (Large Cap) Index
and TSX 60 ETF and TSX 60 bull ETF and TSX 60 bear ETF |
18.0 |
3.2%
index
2.9%
XIU
No dividend on HXU, HIX or HXD
|
XIU
$17.87
(0.17% MER) HXU
$18.86 (1.15% MER) 2 times bull
HIX
$10.28
Single Bear 1.15% MER
HXD
$8.15 (1.15% MER) 2 times bear |
60
companies. Note the very low management expense fee (ratio). This
allows broad exposure to the Canadian stock market at a low fee. Appears not particularly
attractive. Has a
heavy weighting to volatile finance and energy sectors.
Note that leveraged ETFs (2 or three times bull or bear) are known to
perform as expected for short-term holding periods but may not perform as
expected over longer holding periods. Click on the symbol HXU to see a graph
that illustrates the problem. |
| S&P/TSX Mid
and Small Cap Index (Completion
Index) and TSX mid-cap ETF |
21.8 |
3.0%
index
2.0%
XMD
|
XMD $21.70 (0.55% MER) |
Seems unattractive.177
companies. |
| S&P/TSX Small Cap Index
and TSX small cap ETF |
79.2 |
2.8%
index
1.8%
XCS
|
XCS
$15.52 (0.55% MER) |
Seems highly unattractive. But this may be
due to IFRS accounting. 225
companies. |
|
S&P/TSX Capped Consumer Discretionary Index |
14.9 |
2.5% |
No ETF |
There are only about 18 companies in the
index, some
are poor fits. (Magna, Thompson Reuters??) Seems like a meaningless sector. |
|
S&P/TSX Capped Consumer Staples Index |
15.9 |
1.7%
index
0.8%
XST
|
XST $27.87
(0.55% MER) |
Neutral in attractiveness. Only
11 companies mostly grocery and drug stores. |
|
S&P/TSX Capped Metals & Mining Index |
13.7 |
1.6% |
No ETF |
About 11
companies. |
| S&P/TSX Capped Energy Index
and TSX Energy ETF and TSX Energy double bull ETF and TSX Energy single and
double bear ETF |
42 |
3.3%
index 2.5%
XEG
No dividend on HEU, HIF or HED
|
XEG
$15.31 (0.55%
MER)
HEU
$4.76 (1.15% MER) 2 times bull
HIE
$?.??
Single Bear1.15% MER
HED
$4.41 (1.15% MER) 2 times bear |
47 companies.
Looks unattractive but that depends on oil and gas prices. |
|
S&P/TSX Capped Health Care Index |
25.8 |
3.6% |
No ETF |
Only
4 companies. |
|
S&P/TSX Capped Industrials Index |
20.1 |
2.1 |
No ETF |
20 companies. |
| S&P/TSX Capped Information technology Index
and TSX Information Technology Tech ETF |
negative earnings |
0.9%
index
n.a.
XIT
|
XIT $7.88 (0.55% MER) |
Appears quite unattractive but is
particularly unpredictable - only about
7 companies in
this ETF |
| S&P/TSX Capped Materials Index
TSX Materials ETF |
28.5 |
2.1%
index 1.6%
XMA
|
XMA
$13.65 (0.55% MER) |
59
companies, looks unattractive but earnings here are particularly unpredictable
moving with commodity prices |
| Dow Jones Canada Select Growth Index
TSX Growth ETF |
20.4 P/B =
2.4 |
2.1%
index 1.4%
XCG
|
XCG $22.28 (0.50% MER) |
58 companies appears unattractive. |
| Claymore Oil Sands
Sector ETF |
15.6 P/B =
1.3 |
0.0%
index 0.0%
CLO
|
CLO
$12.24
(0.60% MER) |
13
companies. Looks neutral in attractiveness but valuation will change with
Alberta oil prices. |
CANADIAN
FIXED INCOME BOND ETFs (dated May 2, 2013)
|
| Bond Type (Click for updated yield to
maturity and to see the individual bonds in the index) |
Average Term of Bonds in Years |
Average Yield to Maturity before
MER on index and cash yield on ETF |
ETF Stock Symbol, (Click for updated price) |
Comment (Bonds and Bond
ETFs are more
suitable to tax-sheltered accounts than taxable) ETF
yield may be higher than the true return you will get because these bonds
trade at a premium |
| ishares
Canadian Bond ETF (Mix of Government and Corporate) |
9.8 |
2.1%
YTM index 3.2%
cash yield XBB
|
XBB $31.49 (0.30% MER) |
Appears highly unattractive and it will fall in price if interest rates rise.
This will slowly fall in price if interest rates remain stable. Expect a
capital loss
even if interest rates are stable, best indication of true expected return is index
yield to maturity minus MER! Actual return is unpredictable.
|
|
ishares Canadian Corporate Bond ETF |
8.5 |
2.5% YTM
index 3.7%
cash yield XCB
|
XCB $21.64
(0.42% MER) |
Not attractive
It will fall in price if the probability of corporate bankruptcies rises, and/or if interest
rates rise.
Expect a capital loss
even if interest rates are stable, best indication of true expected return is index
yield to maturity minus MER !Actual return is unpredictable.
|
|
ishares Canadian Government Bond ETF |
10.3 |
1.9%
YTM index 2.9%
XBG
|
XGB $21.84 (0.35% MER) |
Not
attractive.
Expect a capital loss even if
interest rates are stable. The best indication of true expected return is index
yield to maturity minus MER! Actual return is unpredictable.
|
| ishares Canadian Long Bond ETF
(mix of government and corporate) |
22.2 |
3.1%
YTM index 3.8%
XLB
|
XLB $23.40
(0.37% MER) |
Not an attractive yield
and with its long maturity it will fall heavily if long-term interest rates rise.
Expect a capital loss even if interest
rates remain stable. The best indication of true expected return is index
yield to maturity minus MER! Actual return is unpredictable.
|
|
ishares Canadian Real Return Bond ETF |
20.2 |
0.2%
YTM plus inflation index 1.8%
XRB
|
XRB $25.63
(0.37% MER) |
Real return bonds
protect against inflation but pay tiny yields and do not at
all protect against a rise in the real (before inflation) interest rates.
Real interest rates are at historic lows so that represents a danger with this
ETF fund. |
| ishares Canadian Short Bond ETF |
2.8 |
1.4%
YTM index 2.8%
XSB
|
XSB $28.90
(0.26% MER) |
1.4% YTM minus the MER
seems unattractive.
Expect a capital loss
even if interest rates are stable, best indication of true expected return is index
yield minus MER!, not the cash yield on the ETF
|
| General
comments on Bonds: Bond interest is taxed more heavily than share dividends
or capital gains. Therefore they are more suitable for tax-sheltered savings
accounts. (RRSP, RESP, Tax Free Savings Account). Bonds, and especially longer term bonds
fall in price when interest rates rise. Interest rates are currently at
record lows and therefore there is a high risk that interest rates will rise
and that bond prices will fall. The real return bond partly protects against
that risk. Corporate Bonds fall in price when corporate profits fall and or
whenever corporations are viewed as more risky or when interest rates rise
in general. Bond and Bond ETF cash
yields can be higher than the underlying yield to maturity - don't be
misled - the offset would be an expected capital loss as the bonds are
trading at a premium to their maturity price. See also our articles
on bond investing. |
|
GOLD AND COMMODITY ETFs (updated May 2, 2012) |
| Commodity Type |
P/E Ratio |
Yield |
ETF Stock Symbol, (Click for updated price) |
Comment |
| S&P/TSX Global Gold Index
TSX Global Gold ETF |
12.4 |
1.4%
XGD
2.5%
index
1.4%
XGD
No dividends on the bear/bull ETFs
|
XGD
$12.33 (0.55% MER) HGU
$12.24
(1.15% MER) 2 times bull
HIG
$?.??
Single Bear 1.15% MER
HGD
$21.05
(1.15% MER) 2 times bear |
54
Global gold companies. My experience has
been that gold companies tend to be often over-priced due to a "lottery ticket"
mentality.
This appears to be attractive
The symbols starting with H here trade on Toronto in Canadian
dollars - but not hedged.
Note that leveraged ETFs (2 or three times bull or bear) are
known to perform as expected for short-term holding periods but may not
perform as expected over longer holding periods. Click on the ETF symbol to
see a graph that illustrates the problem. |
HBP COMEX®
GOLD ETF (HUG)
|
not applicable |
not applicable |
HUG
$14.52 MER 0.65% |
Gold itself as a commodity in Canadian
dollars and hedged to remove currency risk Endeavors to correspond to the
performance of the COMEX® gold
futures contract for a subsequent delivery month i.e. It does not own physical
gold
In a stable market with an upward sloping futures price, it would by
nature
lose money as each futures bought each month tends to be more expensive than
the value of the expiring contract being sold. |
| iShares
Gold Bullion Trust |
not applicable |
not applicable |
CGL $13.08
MER = 0.50% |
This is gold itself as a commodity.
This Trust owns physical Gold |
|
ISHARES COMEX Gold Trust TSX Gold
Commodity ETF |
not applicable |
not applicable |
IGT
$14.40
(0.40% MER)
This is the American MER,
possibly it is higher in Canada. |
This is gold itself as a commodity. This is a
U.S. gold ETF that also happens to trade on the TSX in Canadian dollars.
This Trust owns physical
Gold |
| ishares Silver Bullion
Fund |
not applicable |
not applicable |
SVR.un
$13.90
MER = 0.60% |
This is silver itself as a commodity.
Trades in Canadian dollars but is hedged.
This Trust owns physical Silver |
HBP
COMEX® SILVER ETF (HUZ)
|
not applicable |
not applicable |
HUZ
$15.27
MER 0.65% |
Silver as a commodity in Canadian
dollars and hedged to remove currency risk Endeavors to correspond to the
performance of the COMEX® silver futures contract for a subsequent delivery
month - it does not own physical silver.
In a stable market with an upward sloping futures price, it would by
nature
lose money as each futures bought each month tends to be more expensive than
the value of the expiring contract being sold. |
HBP
WINTER NYMEX® CRUDE OIL ETF (HUC)
|
not applicable |
not applicable |
HUC
$10.38
MER 0.75% |
Emulates December contract for NYMEX light sweet
Crude. Priced in Canadian dollars and Hedged. This should go up if
December futures price for oil rises. And the reverse. This ETF may lose
money when it sells the December 2013 contract and presumably
buys the December 2014 contract
|
|
HBP NYMEX® Crude Oil Bull Plus ETF
HBP NYMEX® Crude Oil Bear Plus ETF |
not applicable |
not applicable |
HOU
$4.47
MER 1.15%
HOD
$5.22
MER 1.15% |
2x Bull Attempts to emulate a 200% continuous
exposure to the next month's oil futures contract on the New York Mercantile
Exchange
2x Bear Attempts to emulate a 200% continuous exposure to selling the
next month oil futures contract on the New York Mercantile Exchange
In Hedged Canadian dollars
Note that leveraged ETFs (2 or three times bull or bear) are
known to perform as expected for short-term holding periods but may not
perform as expected over longer holding periods. Click on the links to
see a graph that illustrates the problem.
|
HBP
WINTER NYMEX® NATURAL GAS ETF (HUN)
|
not applicable |
not applicable |
HUN
$11.02
MER 0.75% |
Emulates January contract for NYMEX Natural Gas.
Priced in Canadian dollars and Hedged This ETF should go up if the January natural gas price rises. And the
reverse. Also may lose money when it has to sell January 2013 to buy January
2014.
|
|
HBP NYMEX® Natural Gas Bull Plus ETF
HBP NYMEX® Natural Gas Bear Plus ETF |
not applicable |
not applicable |
HNU
$15.17
MER 1.15%
HND $5.58
MER 1.15% |
2x Bull Attempts to emulate a 200% exposure to
the next month Natural gas future on New York Mercantile Exchange
2x Bear Attempts to emulate a 200% exposure to selling the next month
Natural gas future contract on the New York Mercantile Exchange
In Hedged Canadian dollars
Note that leveraged ETFs (2 or three times bull or bear) are
known to perform as expected for short-term holding periods but may not
perform as expected over longer holding periods. Click on the links to
see a graph that illustrates the problem. |
For those interested in Canadian
ETFs this is an excellent reference article. You can bookmark it and also
join our free newsletter list to be advised
of periodic updates to this table.
For those segments that show an entry in the Canadian "ETF" column, this means that a
Canadian
Exchange Traded Fund is available. These Canadian ETFs trade just like stocks on
the Toronto Stock Exchange and the
trading symbol is provided. Buying the Exchange Traded Fund gives convenient exposure to the
segment.
Where an ETF exists, you can buy it just like buying a stock.
With the information above investors can make a judgment
as to the desirability of various segments of the Canadian market and we provide
the trading symbol under which each can be purchased. (Or sold short for that
matter).
This can help you decide which sectors are most (or
least) attractive. (Financial, Energy, Real Estate etc.). For those sectors with
an ETF available, you can then easily buy that sector by buying the Exchange
Traded Fund.
While it can be very difficult to interpret whether a particular P/E ratio is
attractive or not, it is useful to be aware of these ratios. Note that most of
the indexes are "capped" which means that the contribution of any one company to
the index is capped or limited to a certain level. In theory the P/E ratio of an
index should be more meaningful than the P/E for an individual stock since the
group of companies that make up an index are less prone to unusual gains and
losses since these tend to average out. But in some cases they do not average
out and an index P/E could be affected by large unusual gains or losses at
individual companies or something unusual that is affecting the entire sector.
Note that some of these sectors contain less than 10 companies which is
really not enough to be representative of a sector.
Where there is no ETF, you cannot buy the index and would need to pick and
choose individual stocks or find mutual funds
that focus on the sector.
The ETF's that start with "X" are from from
www.ishares.ca The Canadian ETF's that start with "H" are by Horizon beta pro and are
either a two times bullish bet on the segment or a two times bear bet against the
segment. Use caution and see http://www.hbpETFs.com/ for more information.
The ETF's that start with a "C" are formerly by
Claymore Investments but now by ishares. We have not so far included the
Bank of Montreal ETFs partly because we could not find the P/E and yield
data. Also we have not so far included the new Vanguard Canadian ETFs partly due
to time constraints. If there is a particular Canadian ETF that you would like
to see added and for which fundamental data like the P/E ratios is available,
please let us know and we will consider adding it.
In buying or selling any of these Canadian ETFs be cautious about the trading volume
and the bid/ask spread. Higher volume ETFs are preferred, all else being equal.
In buying any of these, be careful to double check the Canadian ETF trading symbol with
other sources. I believe the symbols above are correct, but please double check.
A wrong symbol could lead to to the wrong investment. Also check the latest P/E
ratios and dividend yield by clicking the links above. When clicking links check
that it goes to the Canadian ETF name that you expect.
Investors may wish to
consider the expected growth or contraction of the earnings that are driving the
P/E for a particular segment. High growth can justify a high P/E and low or
negative growth leads to lower P/E ratios. Also for some industries like mining
and real estate, the GAAP earnings may arguably understate sustainable
free cash
flow therefore justifying a higher P/E. For more on this see our articles on
understanding P/E ratios. Possibly,
some segments, which may not have a lot of companies in the sector,
are affected by one or two companies within the sector having unusual losses or
gains.
END
Shawn Allen, CFA, CMA, MBA, P.Eng.
President, InvestorsFriend Inc.
Last updated: May 2, 2013